{"id":29947,"date":"2026-03-10T10:43:38","date_gmt":"2026-03-10T14:43:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/?p=29947"},"modified":"2026-03-11T10:50:57","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T14:50:57","slug":"middle-east-crisis-impact-on-jet-fuel-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/middle-east-crisis-impact-on-jet-fuel-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Middle East Crisis: Impact on Jet Fuel Prices"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\">Jet fuel is becoming more expensive across the US as the crisis in the Middle East continues to push up global oil prices.<\/p>\n<p>On March 6 we reported that retail prices at some FBOs had reached <strong>$10 per gallon<\/strong>, particularly in the Northeast.<\/p>\n<p>The good news is that this isn\u2019t being driven by shortages. But if supply isn\u2019t the problem, what is pushing prices higher, and what can operators expect moving forward?<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"p1\">Why prices are rising<\/h4>\n<p>The main driver is crude oil.<\/p>\n<p>Whenever tensions increase in the Middle East, global oil markets react quickly because a large proportion of the world\u2019s energy supply moves through that region.<\/p>\n<p>In recent days the situation has been amplified by political rhetoric around the Strait of Hormuz, the world\u2019s most important oil chokepoint.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Roughly 20% of global oil supply moves through the Strait every day<\/strong>. Even the threat of disruption can push prices higher, because traders immediately start pricing in the possibility that shipments may be affected.<\/p>\n<p>That risk premium is now showing up in jet fuel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29962 alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/strait-of-hormuz-sat-image.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/strait-of-hormuz-sat-image.webp 1200w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/strait-of-hormuz-sat-image-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/strait-of-hormuz-sat-image-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/strait-of-hormuz-sat-image-768x432.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/>Roughly twenty percent of the world\u2019s supply moves through the Strait of Hormuz every day. <strong>Even the threat of the route being disrupted will have a direct impact on oil prices.<\/strong> This is because traders immediately start pricing in the possibility that shipments may be disrupted.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">That risk premium is now showing up in<strong> jet fuel.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"p1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29950 alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fuel-Graph.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1357\" height=\"545\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fuel-Graph.png 1357w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fuel-Graph-300x120.png 300w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fuel-Graph-1024x411.png 1024w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fuel-Graph-768x308.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1357px) 100vw, 1357px\" \/>Shortages not expected<\/h4>\n<p class=\"p1\">Despite the sudden surge in prices, actual fuel shortages in the US are unlikely.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">Domestic refinery capacity remains strong and the US produces large amounts of crude oil. What we\u2019re seeing is <strong>price volatility rather than a lack of supply.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-29960 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Refuel.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1235\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Refuel.jpeg 1920w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Refuel-300x193.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Refuel-1024x659.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Refuel-768x494.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Refuel-1536x988.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">Unfortunately, this doesn\u2019t help with our smouldering wallets. Operators will likely continue to see <strong>wide price differences between airports as FBOs<\/strong> adjust their inventory and contract pricing.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"p1\">How to compare prices<\/h4>\n<p class=\"p1\">In the current environment, it has become more important than usual to<strong> check fuel prices<\/strong> when filing a flight plan.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">There are a few ways to make this easier:<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.airnav.com\/fuel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AirNav<\/a> is a useful free resource that shows posted retail fuel prices at many US airports. It pulls data from a database of more than 3,000 FBOs nationwide.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_29955\" style=\"width: 905px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.airnav.com\/fuel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-29955\" class=\"wp-image-29955 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fuel-Price-Report-AIRNAV-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"895\" height=\"589\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fuel-Price-Report-AIRNAV-1.png 895w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fuel-Price-Report-AIRNAV-1-300x197.png 300w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Fuel-Price-Report-AIRNAV-1-768x505.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 895px) 100vw, 895px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-29955\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.airnav.com\/fuel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AirNav<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"p1\">If you have <strong>contract fuel<\/strong> through the likes of Shell, World Fuel or Colt check whether they have an app. These often show contract prices at nearby airports.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">Lastly, call ahead to the FBO and avoid <strong>nasty surprises.<\/strong> The posted prices don\u2019t always reflect discounts or contract rates.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"p1\">How long will this all last?<\/h4>\n<p data-start=\"2519\" data-end=\"2568\">Like the rest of the world, we simply don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2570\" data-end=\"2734\">Oil prices can rise quickly, but they can also fall just as fast. Fuel markets react rapidly to geopolitical risk and often normalise once the situation stabilises.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2736\" data-end=\"2944\">If tensions in the Middle East ease, prices could settle within days, weeks or months. If the conflict escalates and disrupts major oil infrastructure or shipping routes, higher prices may persist for longer.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jet fuel is becoming more expensive across the US as the crisis in the Middle&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":29953,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[287],"class_list":{"0":"post-29947","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-briefings","8":"tag-fuel"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29947","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29947"}],"version-history":[{"count":17,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29947\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29980,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29947\/revisions\/29980"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29953"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29947"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29947"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29947"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}