{"id":20250,"date":"2022-11-15T09:11:04","date_gmt":"2022-11-15T14:11:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/?p=20250"},"modified":"2022-11-15T09:14:36","modified_gmt":"2022-11-15T14:14:36","slug":"the-safety-watchlist-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/the-safety-watchlist-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"The Safety Watchlist 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Transportation Safety Board of Canada released its Watchlist for 2022, highlighting what they think <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">the bigs and the bads<\/span> to look at in the industry are.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0We\u00a0figured it would be a lot of specifically Canadian things like grizzly bears on runways, and whether a hockey stick counts as a dangerous weapon when brought on board.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Turns out that it&#8217;s all things which are <em>globally\u00a0<\/em>big and bad. What&#8217;s more, now the Covid stuff has (mostly) gone away (you might remember the whole pulling airplanes out of storage and finding bugs nesting in them fear), <strong>these are big, bad things which we&#8217;ve been talking about in the industry for quite some time.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>So, because it&#8217;s November 2022, which is basically December, which means the year is pretty much over, we figured we\u2019d tell you all about it.<\/p>\n<h4>The Highlights<\/h4>\n<p><em>Seems an odd choice of word, theirs not ours.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>So, the first one on the list was something about commercial fishing safety. We aren\u2019t sure if we have any commercial fisherfolk at Opsgroup, apologies if we do, but we don&#8217;t think so, so figured we would not pause too long on this one.<\/p>\n<p>Same for railway signal indications. Not so relevant to aviation. We will say that following signals as a pilot is important though. If you don\u2019t <strong>know your interception signals<\/strong>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/intercepted-what-you-need-to-know\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">swot up on them here.<\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_20297\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20297\" class=\"wp-image-20297 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Blank-2000-x-2000-2022-11-09T102736.383-1024x651.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"651\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Blank-2000-x-2000-2022-11-09T102736.383-1024x651.png 1024w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Blank-2000-x-2000-2022-11-09T102736.383-300x191.png 300w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Blank-2000-x-2000-2022-11-09T102736.383-768x488.png 768w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Blank-2000-x-2000-2022-11-09T102736.383-1536x977.png 1536w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Blank-2000-x-2000-2022-11-09T102736.383.png 1988w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-20297\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">4 clues. Only 3 are ones we want to talk about.<\/p><\/div>\n<h4>Onto the Aviation highlights<\/h4>\n<p>There are 5. We reckon they are going to be quite familiar:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Runway Excursions<\/li>\n<li>Runway Incursions<\/li>\n<li>Fatigue<\/li>\n<li>Safety Management Systems<\/li>\n<li>Regulatory oversight<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We&#8217;re going to ignore the last two, just because we don&#8217;t know much about them.<\/p>\n<h4>Runway Excursions<\/h4>\n<p>The biggest one. The baddest one.\u00a0<strong>Aircraft going off the end of the runway.<\/strong> It happens way too often, and the outcome is often severe.<\/p>\n<p>In Canada, between January 2005 and June 2022 there were on average <strong>9.3 runway overrun occurrences per year<\/strong>, most of these during the landing phase.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s the TSB&#8217;s graph:<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_20253\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20253\" class=\"wp-image-20253 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screenshot-2022-11-02-at-12.19.47-1024x497.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"497\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screenshot-2022-11-02-at-12.19.47-1024x497.png 1024w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screenshot-2022-11-02-at-12.19.47-300x146.png 300w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screenshot-2022-11-02-at-12.19.47-768x373.png 768w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screenshot-2022-11-02-at-12.19.47.png 1145w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-20253\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">This is just in Canada.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Now, they do in all fairness get some <em>&#8216;overrun encouraging&#8217;<\/em> weather in the deep and distant north because it gets so <strong>cold and icy<\/strong> up there.<\/p>\n<p>But then again this isn\u2019t limited to Canada.<\/p>\n<p>You find places all over which have <strong>strong winds<\/strong> <em>(tailwinds, ballon inducing gusts&#8230;)<\/em>,<strong> heavy rain<\/strong><em> (slippery runways)<\/em>,<strong> stuff that reduces visibility on short finals<\/strong><em> (increases chances of getting unstabilised)<\/em>, <strong>hot and high spots<\/strong> <em>(increases the ROD required)<\/em>, <strong>unusual terrain<\/strong> <em>(increases the chances of becoming unstabilised),<\/em> <strong>short runways<\/strong> <em>(possible performance mishaps)<\/em>, or just\u00a0<em>places which are totally easy-peasy so you think it will definitely all be fine and get complacent&#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Runway excursions are a global problem that don&#8217;t seem to be going away. <a href=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/overrun-forrest-overrun\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">We might have mentioned this before.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>So what can we do about it?<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Know what GRF is and use it.<\/strong> If you haven&#8217;t heard of the (new) Global Reporting Format that came in 2021 then you can<a href=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/global-reporting-format\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> read about it here<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>Use arresting systems.<\/strong> OK, pilots can\u2019t really do much about whether this is available at an airport, but <a href=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/swerving-to-avoid-why-arent-we-using-emas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">knowing what it is and where it is,<\/a> is important because some pilots have actively swerved to avoid it.\u00a0If you&#8217;re heading off a runway then that sucks but if it has EMAS then USE IT, it might save your life.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Fly a stabilised approach.\u00a0<\/strong>Or <a href=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/unstable-why-arent-we-going-around\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ask the question why you or your crew aren&#8217;t going around.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>Do performance calculations&#8230; properly.\u00a0<\/strong>Not much else to say on that.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Be go-around minded.\u00a0<\/strong>Air France learned a thing or two about this in 2005 heading into CYYZ\/Toronto when the weather deteriorated and they didn&#8217;t go-around. It led to a runway excursion. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tsb.gc.ca\/eng\/rapports-reports\/aviation\/2005\/a05h0002\/a05h0002.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read about it here<\/a> if you&#8217;re not familiar with this one.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tsb.gc.ca\/eng\/surveillance-watchlist\/aviation\/2020\/air-02.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read this.<\/a>\u00a0It&#8217;s the full TSB rundown on runway overruns.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Runway Incursions<\/h4>\n<p>If the risk of heading off the end isn&#8217;t enough, then there is also a big risk of heading onto the runway when we shouldn&#8217;t be.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The rate has doubled in 12 years<\/strong>.\u00a0Thankfully it hasn\u2019t resulted in a collision, but still\u2026 not ideal.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s another graph. because we like their graphs:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-20252 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screenshot-2022-11-02-at-12.26.39-1024x661.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"661\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screenshot-2022-11-02-at-12.26.39-1024x661.png 1024w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screenshot-2022-11-02-at-12.26.39-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screenshot-2022-11-02-at-12.26.39-768x496.png 768w, https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Screenshot-2022-11-02-at-12.26.39.png 1152w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>There are some big numbers on there.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What can we do about it?<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Know your hotspot symbols.\u00a0<\/strong>The US have recently<a href=\"https:\/\/www.faa.gov\/airports\/runway_safety\/hotspots\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> changed up their hotspot symbols<\/a> to help with situational awareness on the taxi.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Brief<\/strong>. Talk about the taxi, especially in poor visibility.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stop! <\/strong>If you ain\u2019t sure, stop taxiing. Rolling about willy-nilly never ends well.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Think about de-icing\/anti-icing.\u00a0<\/strong>There have been <a href=\"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/winter-is-coming-updated-holdover-time-guidelines\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">changes to HOTs in the FAA winter manual.<\/a> Taking off with ice on your wings is going to make the takeoff roll hair-raising. Don&#8217;t risk it, de-ice!<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bst-tsb.gc.ca\/eng\/surveillance-watchlist\/aviation\/2022\/air-01.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read\u00a0this.\u00a0<\/a>The TSB&#8217;s stuff on incursions, in full.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>Fatigue<\/h4>\n<p>Yep. Where to start. This is a big conversation which needs to be had more in the industry. Aside from FTLs and roster patterns (a can we won&#8217;t open now), we do think there are some things which aren&#8217;t getting mentioned enough which can lead to fatigue:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Staffing issues<br \/>\n<\/strong><em>\u201cWait,\u201d<\/em> I hear you say. <em>\u201cWhat\u2019s that got to do with fatigue?\u201d<br \/>\n<\/em>Well, staffing issues in airports lead to delays, which lead to longer hours for crew, which can lead to tiredness and fatigue.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The Russia Ukraine conflict<br \/>\n<\/strong>Longer routings mean more time in the air which can lead to, you guessed it, more tiredness and fatigue.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Strikes<br \/>\n<\/strong>Strikes = delays and disruption = &#8230; same old story.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Now, just identifying random things which might be increasing fatigue levels isn&#8217;t really going to fix it. Having\u00a0some real, human conversations about it might.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If you&#8217;re a pilot, don\u2019t just think about now, think about 10 hours later.<\/li>\n<li>Get some decent controlled rest policies into your operation.<\/li>\n<li>Consider ways to improve sleep management, especially if you\u2019re doing hideous time zone crossing flights.<\/li>\n<li>Stop using tees like &#8220;sleep science&#8221; and harping on about circadian rhythm. Start talking about how to recognise fatigue, what that means for your performance, and what to do about it.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>The Full Monty<\/h4>\n<p>So, that is the (Canadian) Safety Watchlist 2022 and if you want to, you can read the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tsb.gc.ca\/eng\/surveillance-watchlist\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">full thing here,<\/a> (including the bits on fishing).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Transportation Safety Board of Canada released its Watchlist for 2022, highlighting what they think&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":51,"featured_media":20267,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[1770,425],"class_list":{"0":"post-20250","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-briefings","8":"tag-accidents","9":"tag-safety"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20250"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20250\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20342,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20250\/revisions\/20342"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20267"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ops.group\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}